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MNF Falcons vs Saints Michael Penix Jr. vs Tyler Shough. Interestingly enough, despite being in the same division, Penix has never faced the Saints. With an O/U at 47.5, this game looks promising. I'm taking Drake London over 75.5 rec yards (Fanatics Sportsbook, line is 79.5 on FanDuel) as a 2u play. The Penix-London connection picked up right where it left off, with London exploding for 194 receiving yards on 10 targets in their last matchup vs GB. London has now recorded 104+ rec yards in four straight games with Penix at QB, reaching 118+ rec yards in three of those games. Even more impressive, he's gone over 100 rec yards in 6/L7 with Penix at the helm. Now let's look at the matchup. In Week 1, New Orleans allowed St. Brown to record 67 receiving yards and 10 receptions. In Week 2, the Saints gave up 88 yards and a TD to Bateman, who was effectively Baltimore's WR1 in that game. In Week 3, Bowers put up 116 yards on 10 receptions. While he's technically a TE, he frequently lines up in the slot and operates as the WR1. Additionally, the Saints have allowed an average of 211.7 passing yards per game through three weeks. For the Saints, I'm buying the hook on Chris Olave and taking him for 80+ rec yards (Fanatics Sportsbook) as a 1u play. Olave has cleared this mark in all three games this season, with 107+ rec yards in 2/L3. Going back to last season, Olave has now recorded 80+ rec yards in six straight games. The Falcons also have the number one ranked defense against the run in the entire NFL, so any success the Saints have tonight should come through the air. However — keep in mind that the Falcons played the Steelers and Green Bay: oftentimes these stats can be misleading so early in the season. It's also worth mentioning that Olave has logged 8+ receptions in five straight games dating back to last season. In Week 2, the Falcons let up 101 rec yards to Tetairoa McMillan. In Week 3, the Falcons allowed 100 rec yards and a TD to Matthew Golden and 96 rec yards and a TD to Christian Watson. GB's success through the air was heavily attributed to A.J. Terrell sitting out, and with Terrell on IR and set to miss this one as well, I like Olave's chances to clear this line. There's two other players I'm watching here. The first is Bijan Robinson. I am by no means betting an over on a 130.5 rush + rec line, nor am I betting an ATD at -210. This does nothing for your bankroll. With that being said, I'm also not going to ignore his matchup without giving you guys the statistics. The Saints have the 27th ranked rush defense in the NFL, giving up an average of 128.7 yards per game on the ground, and they struggle vs zone-heavy run teams. I wouldn't be surprised if Bijan had a big night, but I'm not betting on it. The second player I have my eye on is Noah Fant. Against the defensive schemes that the Falcons like to run, Fant thrives. He's also coming off a 2 TD performance in Week 3 and saw 8 targets in Week 1. I'm throwing .5u on Fant over 15.5 rec yards and living with the result. ATD: Drake London (+125) .25u Longshot ATD: Noah Fant (+530) .25u (Note that Fant is questionable to play due to an abdominal injury) Parlay: Tyler Shough over 1.5 passing TDs, Devaughn Vele 30+ rec yards, Jahan Dotson 10+ rec yards, Austin Hooper 10+ rec yards (+450) .25u Parlay 2: London 100+ rec yards, Olave 100+ rec yards (+490) .25u Degen parlay: Penix ATD, Shough ATD (+4250) .1u ​ NFL Week 4 Writeup Colts vs Commanders: The game is in London. The Colts are missing Pierce and Allen, and the door is open for Warren and Downs to both have big games against a pass defense ranked 31st in the NFL. I’m rolling Warren ATD (+165), both .5u plays. The Commanders have allowed 189 rec yards and 4 TDs to TEs through three weeks. If you’d rather target Downs, that looks good as well. I’d also keep my eye on Darius Slayton, who will be debuting for Indianapolis and already has proven chemistry with Daniel Jones from their years together in NY. Jayden Daniels remains out for Washington. No leans here for the Commanders, but it’s worth noting that they’re matched up against the worst-ranked defense in the league. This could actually be a great game, but don’t get cooked early. NOTE: This stat is completely unrelated, but the last time Jonathan Taylor played overseas, he scored three touchdowns. Cowboys vs Texans: Nico Collins is back and should have no restrictions. No straight bets here, but this could be a big game from Collins and the Texans, who need a statement win. I’d also keep my eyes on George Pickens in this one. Both of these teams are far better than their records suggest. Jets vs Bears: The Jets are missing Breece Hall, Adonai Mitchell, and Mason Taylor. The QB decision is still up in the air for Chicago, but it looks like they’re leaning toward starting Tyson Bagent. Braelon Allen, Kenyon Sadiq, and Kalif Raymond are some players to watch, but I’m off this one as well. Jaguars vs Bengals: This is one of your games to target. Both pass defenses are ranked bottom 10 in the NFL, and the O/U sits at 51.5, highest on the slate. Despite Cincinnati’s strong rush defense thus far, I’m taking Bhayshul Tuten over 54.5 rush yards. Tuten has cleared 65+ rush yards in all three games this season, and the Bengals allowed 127 rush yards to Warren last week. For the Bengals, I’m taking Ja’Marr Chase 80+ rec yards for .5u. The Jags have allowed impressive games to WR1s through three weeks, with Waddle logging 138 yards against them in Week 2. Ja’Marr has also logged b2b games vs Jacksonville with 149+ rec yards. .25u on Higgins ATD (+125), .25u on Parker Washington ATD (+135), and .25u on Tuten ATD (+100). I’ll also be taking a longshot on Lawrence ATD (+330) for .25u, especially after last week’s shenanigans. Washington should have a big game as well. Patriots vs Bills: I’m taking DJ Moore over 49.5 rec yards here. Excluding the game he was injured, DJ Moore has put up 67+ rec yards in both games as a Buffalo Bill, with 10 targets last week vs the Chargers. With Christian Gonzalez out for this one, Moore will have a favorable matchup on the outside, and he can clear this line in a couple of catches. Cardinals vs Giants: This should actually be a pretty good game. If you want to keep taking Mooney’s rec yards (3/3 on the over this season), that’s fine, but I’m pivoting here and rolling with Skattebo over 2.5 receptions as a .5u play. For the Cardinals, I’m expecting a big game from Love here, but his lines are a bit too high for my liking. .25u on Brissett over 1.5 passing TDs (+115). Titans vs Ravens: Derrick Henry possible revenge game. .25u on Henry 2 TDs (+250). Zay Flowers could have a big performance here as well. Rams vs Eagles: No Aaron Donald here. Puka Nacua returns. I’m taking Saquon Barkley over 69.5 rushing yards in this one. Although he has yet to score this season, he looked very good last week. He’s cleared 82+ rush yards in 2/3 games, with the only miss coming in the game where he was injured. I expect the Eagles to lean on their run game without Smith and Goedert in the lineup. This could be a big game from Lemon or Wicks. .25u on Stafford over 1.5 passing TDs. Packers vs Buccaneers: Not my favorite matchup. Throwing .25u on Jalon Daniels ATD (+370) as a longshot just to have some fun. Dolphins vs Vikings: No Justin Jefferson for this one. I’m taking Malik Washington over 38.5 rec yards. Washington has cleared 40+ rec yards in all three games played this season, with 56 yards last week off of 10 targets. He should start to see more volume going forward without Achane in the lineup. Additionally, the Vikings have the 4th-ranked rush defense, so any success the Dolphins might have here should come through the air. Could be big games for Addison/Jennings without JJ. No value on Aaron Jones for a straight bet. Chiefs vs Raiders: Two undefeated teams going head-to-head. I’m rolling with Brock Bowers 70+ rec yards. Bowers looked elite last week, finishing with 116 yards off 14 targets, and draws another favorable matchup here. It’s also worth noting that Michael Mayer has logged 23+ rec yards in all three games played this season, and the Raiders have no problem running double TE sets and using Bowers as a receiver. .25u on Cousins over 1.5 passing TDs (+115), and .25u on Kelce ATD (+145). Here’s a stat: Kirk Cousins has logged 3 passing TDs in all three games played this season. Broncos vs 49ers: Nothing here. Chargers vs Seahawks: Nothing here either. Lions vs Panthers: This is one of my favorite games on the slate. I’m rolling with Tetairoa McMillan 70+ rec yards and Bryce Young over 1.5 passing TDs. For Detroit, I’m taking Jameson Williams ATD (+200) as a .5u play. .1u on Brock Wright (+700), .1u on Wright ATD + Williams ATD as a SGP (+2300) and .1u on Tommy Tremble ATD (+500) as longshots. NOTE: There are weather concerns here. If it rains heavily, expect both teams to lean more on their run game, especially Detroit. Parlay 1: Matthew Stafford over 1.5 passing TDs, Bryce Young over 1.5 passing TDs (+250) — 0.25u Parlay 2: Zay Flowers 70+ rec yards, Brock Bowers 70+ rec yards (+225) — 0.25u Parlay 3: Ashton Jeanty 25+ rec yards, RJ Harvey 25+ rec yards (+400) — 0.25u Degen Parlay 1: Ja’Marr Chase 90+ rec yards, Garrett Wilson over 75.5 rec yards, Tetairoa McMillan 70+ rec yards (+650) — 0.1u Degen Parlay 2: Travis Kelce ATD, Darren Waller ATD (+850) — 0.1u Degen Parlay 3: Bhayshul Tuten ATD, Nico Collins ATD, Trey McBride ATD (+1075) — 0.1u Degen Parlay 4: Malik Washington over 38.5 rec yards, Darnell Mooney over 18.5 rec yards, Ted Hurst III over 21.5 rec yards, Bhayshul Tuten over 9.5 rec yards (+1075) — 0.1u Degen Parlay 5: Davante Adams ATD, Parker Washington ATD, Jameson Williams ATD (+1400) — 0.1u Retirement Parlay: Derrick Henry 2 TDs, JSN 2 TDs, Jahmyr Gibbs 2 TDs (+4490) — 0.1u

Week 4 in fantasy football brings hard pivots, unexpected breakouts, and some must-make decisions as snap shares shift and new faces shine. From players on the chopping block to young quarterbacks suddenly in the spotlight, the board is changing fast. Here’s your concise breakdown of who was covered in this week’s show, their strengths, weaknesses, and actionable takeaways as you head into your matchups. Stock Down: Brian Thomas Jr. Status: Droppable in redraft. Current Role: Outside-looking-in on Jacksonville’s offense. After three weeks, Brian Thomas Jr. has yet to carve out a meaningful role. Snap counts have tailed off—34%, 56%, and most recently 38%—as the Jaguars lean into 12 personnel (double tight end sets) at the fourth-highest clip in the league. That package means he’s not even on the field for many key snaps, pushed out by the system rather than his skills. Weakness: Fit within Jacksonville’s offensive scheme. He needs a spread, heavy 11 personnel setup to play to his strengths as a true X receiver. Strength: Still opens up space for other playmakers—his presence frees up Parker Washington, but it’s a sacrificial role that doesn’t help your fantasy squad. Action Item: Redraft managers should move on. Thomas Jr. is a stash only in dynasty or a long-term bet if he’s traded midseason, but for now, let him go and target wrs like Khalif Raymond or Chris Moore who actually get snaps. Buy Signal: Jalon Daniels Status:Must-watch as a waiver-wire add, especially in superflex and deeper leagues. Current Opportunity: Tampa Bay’s rookie UDFA QB1, penciled in for his first start at home vs. a vulnerable Green Bay defense. Jalon Daniels brings juice to the position, especially on the ground. He ran for 834 yards in his last two seasons at Kansas, and his preseason tape shows a quarterback who isn’t afraid to push the ball into tight windows, layer throws over defenders, and make off-platform passes with tough pocket presence. Strengths: Rushing Ability: Elite for the position, which boosts his fantasy floor. Mental Toughness: Willingly challenges defenders in the air and isn’t scared of NFL-caliber disguises. Downfield Aggression: Targets tight ends and outside receivers, giving deep threats like Ted Hurst value. Weaknesses: Inconsistent Accuracy: As with many UDFAs, not every ball is on the money. RB Dump-Off Volume: His mobility may sap receiving volume from backs like Bucky Irving, hurting their PPR upside. With soft matchups against Green Bay (#23 passing defense) and Dallas (league's worst pass defense to date) on deck, Daniels belongs on your watch list or roster as an upside add. Action Item: Add in superflex, stash in one-QB with deep rosters, and consider as a DFS dart. Temper expectations for RB receiving lines in games Daniels starts. Trending Sell: Kendre Miller Status: Avoid outside of deeper formats. Current Role: Third-string for now, buried behind a surging Aaron Jones and waiting for Jordan Mason’s return from IR. Kendre Miller truthers have cited his upside, but the pathway to value is thin. Despite hype from some dynasty circles, he remains injury-prone and simply can’t seem to string together healthy, impactful games. Weaknesses: Opportunity Blocked: Needs multiple injuries ahead of him to become fantasy-relevant. Injury Track Record: Can’t sustain a meaningful workload. Limited Explosiveness on Tape: Small flashes, but too many stagnant weeks. Action Item: Only worth a bench stash in the deepest redraft formats (14+ teams) or dynasty. Don’t chase him as a savior—look for handcuffs or clearer paths to targets/carries. Under-the-Radar Play: Bryson Tremaine Status: Sneaky deep-league/DFS play, especially if Jalen Coker (questionable) sits. Current Opportunity: Panthers’ WR corps has been depleted, giving Tremaine an opening. Bryson Tremaine flashed as Carolina’s most reliable chain-mover last week. With Jalen Coker out early, Tremaine notched a first down per route rate of 0.107 and an eye-popping 60% explosive play rate, showing athleticism and awareness in contested situations. Strengths: Physical Profile: Big-bodied, jump-ball winner, legitimate end zone threat. Route Savvy: Finds soft spots in zone and boxes out defenders. Usage Spike: Ascended immediately to high-value targets as first reads after Coker’s injury. Consideration: If Coker is inactive and Xavier Legette remains doubtful, Tremaine is a great low-rostered flier for those desperate at WR or in DFS tournaments. Action Item: Monitor Carolina’s injury report. If Coker is out, Tremaine jumps into flex viability and makes for a sharp cheap play in DFS builds.

Is Brian Thomas Jr. Done or Is This a Temporary Blip? This one showed up Sunday and somehow got louder by Tuesday. One camp is done. Empty target night, limited snaps, coaches talking about packages that do not include him, and Parker Washington, Jakobi Meyers, Brenton Strange, and Josh Cameron all eating ahead of the former premium pick. Stop paying sunk-cost tax. Free the spot. The other camp still sees a guy who already produced at NFL scale as a rookie. Bench is ugly, and they would rather park him for a role reset than chase a lottery ticket. Nobody in that group is starting him with a smile. They just are not ready to cut the cord. Is Saquon Barkley Broken or Is the Eagles Offense Broken Around Him? Three games without a double-digit fantasy line will do that to people. Side A treats Saquon like collateral damage. Ugly offensive line snaps, weird play design, Jalen Hurts skipping checkdowns, and Saquon disappearing on obvious passing downs. They still think he has the juice. They just do not trust Philadelphia to get it to him. Side B says do not bury the player. Early-season Eagles chaos under a new offensive staff can look this messy before it settles, and some managers still see efficient work when he actually gets a clean chance. So the fight is less “is Saquon cooked” and more “do you sell the brand name after three ugly weeks, or buy the temporary coaching mess.” Marvin Harrison Jr. or Michael Wilson: Who Is Arizona’s Wide Receiver? Wilson people point at the volume and say the offense already made its choice. Trey McBride is still McBride, Jacoby Brissett is staring down first reads, and MHJ is getting decoyed onto longer routes while Wilson eats the short stuff. To that group, the separation questions are real enough that a scenery change might not even fix it. MHJ people refuse to sell a former top prospect three weeks into a weird Cardinals offense. Earlier healthy production still matters to them, and they call Wilson’s big target games empty PPR volume until the yards catch up. Redraft patience, dynasty buy-low, or full walk-away… yeah, all three camps are still in the chat. Are the Chargers Herbert’s Fault, McDaniel’s Fault, or Just a Dumpster Fire? Los Angeles basically became a blame triangle. Herbert skeptics are tired of the “next coach unlocks him” loop. Late balls, turnovers, and another slow start have them slotting him as a permanent low-end QB1 and treating any panic buy as a trap if you still pay premium. Omarion Hampton got dragged into it too — vision questions, fumbles, and doubt that he is a locked top-10 dynasty back if this offense stays ugly. The pushback blames a brand-new Mike McDaniel scheme, protection chaos, and drops more than Herbert’s DNA. Jim Harbaugh saying he will not jump in midstream got read as “trust the process” by that side. Same split on Hampton: age and draft capital versus a clown-show offense that would make anybody look stuck. Is Jaxon Smith-Njigba the Clear Dynasty WR1, or Are We Overheating? JSN’s start turned trade charts into a personality test. Believers love the age, the target share, and the idea that a technical game ages better than boom-or-bust athleticism. They will put him ahead of Ja'Marr Chase, Puka Nacua, Amon-Ra St. Brown, and even the elite running backs because wide receiver shelf life beats running back volatility. Pushback is sharp. Separation still needs athleticism, true elite backs like Bijan Robinson and Jahmyr Gibbs are rarer long-term staples than WR1s, and some folks still think Chase is the best wideout on Earth even if JSN is the cleaner dynasty asset on age and usage. Heat-check versus new ceiling. That is the whole argument. Did the Bears Pass-Catcher Debate Just Resolve to Kalif Raymond? Alright, this one is kind of funny. One side looks at three weeks of production and says Ben Johnson already told you who he trusts. Kalif Raymond is separating, leading the room in the stats that matter, and the fancy Rome Odunze / Luther Burden III / Colston Loveland hierarchy fight was a distraction. The other side says Raymond eats because defenses put lesser coverage on him while they worry about the young guys. Starting him every week is playing with fire. Those three still own the long-term fantasy ceilings in Chicago, and the “primary option” crown will move once film forces respect.

Week 3 NFL Draft Hot Takes & College Football Risers What a weekend for draft junkies and college football sickos. The Week 3 slate may have lacked marquee matchups, but for our boards, it was absolutely loaded. We’re TJ Wengert and Steve Letizia, and after running through our Pick 6 hot takes on the pod, we’re laying out the key players and eye-popping plays that stuck out on tape—plus where these prospects are trending as the 2027 NFL Draft approaches. Watch here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nLho0rLYWg4 Listen here: https://open.spotify.com/episode/4xAkE5zwH7bbR73p1NzHJl?si=fec2728799f8466d TJ's Hot Take #1: Trinidad Chambliss is a lock to be a top 3 QB in this draft We’ve been holding out on Trinidad Chambliss for a while, mostly because you don’t see many six-foot, 25-year-old QBs go in the first round. But after watching his tape, we think he’s officially locked himself into the top-three conversation. This weekend cemented it. The dude’s arm talent is just different. If you lined up Baker Mayfield’s competitiveness and arm strength with Kyler Murray’s athleticism and mashed them together, you’d have about 90% of what Chambliss is doing every week for his offense. He throws with anticipation and deadly accuracy, and he can tuck it and run when you need him to. His pocket navigation is right alongside Arch Manning for best in the class. Yes, age and height are valid, but most of the “outlier” QBs we love had something truly elite to offset those concerns. Right now, Chambliss’ anticipation, zip, and consistent big-time throws check that box. We’ve got him over Darian Mensah, who’s productive, but doesn’t flash the same arm talent or athleticism. Steve's Hot Take #1 Charlie Becker>Cam Coleman? This is less about hating on Cam Coleman and more about loving what Charlie Becker has done this year. Becker is one of the best athletes in the class. And he’s perfect so far in contested catches (3-for-3) and has been separating vertically at will. He’s 6’4”, 210 pounds, fast, and a lot more polished than some people give him credit for. If he keep this up against tougher corners, there may be no stopping his rise. TJ's Hot Take #2: Sam Levitt=Zach Wilson A hot take that came alive watching the LSU-Ole Miss game: I can’t unsee Sam Leavitt as a version of Zach Wilson if you plugged him into a Lane Kiffin offense. He’s still a very good athlete with a strong arm and there are the occasional dime and creative scramble. But when you look at his game as a whole, he’s still way too erratic, misses some easy throws due to inconsistent footwork, and will make questionable decisions. The natural tools are there, but if you can’t put it all together in a QB-friendly scheme, it’s hard to sell us on the NFL upside. Another year with Kiffin could make all the difference for Levitt, and putting his draft hopes into 2028 feels much more realistic than thinking he'll be a major player in the '27 class. Steve's Hot Take #2: Jordan Seaton is a lock to be a top-8 pick Jordan Seaton has done everything to convince us he’s a franchise left tackle and a top-8 lock in this draft. He blanked Will Heldt (Clemson) and erased Ole Miss’ best rushers—power guys, bendy speed guys, didn’t matter. Where Seaton really pops is in pass protection. He’s fluid, athletic, and shows urgency out of his stance—much improved from last season. Trevor Goosby might hold the edge for run blocking with his length and grip, but Seaton’s improvement year to year tells us the arrow is way up. TJ's Hot Take #3: Kingston Lopa is Safety 1 in the class We both almost overlooked Kingston Lopa until he forced our hand with five picks in three games—plus a pick-six that was just absurd. He’s 6’5” with real range and burst, looking every bit like the type of safety you build in Create-a-Player mode. His ability to flip his hips and redirect at that size is jaw-dropping. Lopa does need to add some weight and shore up his tackling, but his playmaking instincts are undeniable. If he keeps it up, we wouldn’t be shocked to see him finish the year as our safety one. Steve's Hot Take #3: Will Echols is DT1 Ahmad Moten will always have a soft spot for us, but Will Echols has simply become the most pro-ready DT in this class. His tape against LSU was a clinic—seven pressures, a sack, and some reps that showed freaky first-step quickness (he even bullied Jordan Seaton on one). Echols plays with leverage, speed, and improved hand usage. You already couldn't move him in the run game, and now he’s winning as a pass rusher, too. DT1 until further notice. Quick Hits: Stock Up Crew Peyton Bowen (Oklahoma Safety): A very good athlete that has been all over the field for OU. He has yet to surrender a reception, has been a sure tackler all while playing a near even amount of time in the box, over the top and in the slot. Clev Lubin (Louisville Edge): Violence, motor, and a pass-rush arsenal that’s always on display. Technician with real power. Nate Frazier (Georgia RB): Angry runner with legit speed—loved his vision and tempo this week. Luke Reynolds (Virginia Tech TE): 12 catches, 100+ yards—he is their offense. KJ Duff (Rutgers WR): Quietly putting himself on Round 1 radars as a matchup nightmare. Emmanuel Oyebadejo (Florida DL): Still raw, but a physical freak with a four-sack showcase. Football’s just getting started, and with more games, the pecking order will keep evolving. Like we said on the pod: don’t be afraid to adjust when new evidence hits the tape. Hot takes today often become consensus tomorrow. Next episode of pod, we’ll break down Todd McShay’s mock draft. Stay tuned!

NFL MNF Writeup Case Keenum at QB for this one. Here's a statistic: In the last three full games started by Keenum without a mid-game benching, his primary running back rushed for over 120 yards in each: Singletary had 121 yards against Tennessee in 2023, and D'Ernest Johnson put up 123 and 146 rush yards in Keenum's prior two full starts with Cleveland. Furthermore, in all three of those games, his primary RB saw 22+ carries. Excluding those stats and looking at Chicago as a whole, their primary advantage here is on the ground. The Eagles have allowed an average of 127 rush yards through the first two weeks (ranked 25th in the NFL), and that was against the Commanders and the Titans. I'm rolling with D'Andre Swift over 75.5 rush + rec yards (Fanatics Sportsbook) here for 1.5u. Swift has logged 99+ rush + rec yards in both games this season, and I expect the Bears to lean on their run game tonight. My main concern here would be the Eagles getting out to too big a lead early and forcing Chicago to abandon the run, but I'm taking the gamble here. For Philly, I'm taking Dontayvion Wicks 40+ rec yards, also as a 1.5u play. Wicks has recorded 73+ rec yards in both games this season and is matched up with a pass defense ranked 26th in the NFL. With Goedert missing these next few weeks, Wicks and Lemon should see an uptick in volume. Wicks has already shown big-play ability and can clear this line with a couple of catches. ATD: D'Andre Swift (+110) .25u Longshot ATDs: Makai Lemon (+440) .25u, Jahdae Walker (+2000) .1u Parlay: Jalen Hurts over 1.5 passing TD's, Wicks 25+ rec yards, Monangai 5+ rec yards (+300) Degen Parlay: D'Andre Swift 90+ rush yards, Kyle Monangai ATD (+800) (You can also do a Swift 90+ / Monangai 50+ parlay if you prefer that) Other noteworthy stats: Kalif Raymond has logged 5+ receptions and 40+ yards in both games to start the season. His lines are set at O/U 2.5 and O/U 22.5, respectively. Monangai has recorded two receptions in both games this year. His reception line sits at O/U 1.5 (+110) Monangai has logged 11+ rec yards in his first two games, and 9+ rec yards in seven straight games dating back to last season. Hurts has recorded 2+ passing TDs and 5+ rush attempts in both games this season. NFL Week 3 Sunday Writeup Patriots vs Jaguars: I'm running it right back with Parker Washington over 64.5 rec yards. Washington has now logged 80+ rec yards in six straight games dating back to last season, and 90+ rec yards in 4/L6. Gonzalez is expected to shadow BTJ which should give Washington more favorable coverage. Bengals vs Steelers: Despite the high line, I'm targeting Chase Brown 85.5 rush + rec (Fanatics Sportsbook) here. Brown has yet to clear this number this season, but I still like the over here vs a rush defense that's shown vulnerability to explosive plays on the ground. Bijan went for 173 rush + rec yards in Week 1 vs the Steelers, while the Patriots broke off three 10+ yard runs vs them last week, including a 39-yard TD run from Henderson. The Bengals have been giving Brown a heavy workload and with his current volume, I like his chances to break a few of those runs here. .25u on Higgins ATD (+175). Warren's rec yards look pretty good. Titans vs Giants: .5u on Darnell Mooney 15+ rec yards. This could be entertaining, but I don't have too much trust in either offense. It could be a breakout game for Carnell Tate, but again, I'm not putting stock there. Expect Jameis Winston to take shots downfield in this one. Seahawks vs Commanders: If you want to keep taking JSN, I don't mind that. Nothing here. I wouldn't be surprised if AJ Barner scored. Jets vs Lions: I'm taking Garrett Wilson over 74.5 rec yards. Detroit has allowed an average of 329 passing yards through the first two games (ranked 31st in the NFL), and this should be a game where the Jets are forced to throw. Wilson has seen 7 targets in both games to start the season and should look to take advantage of this pass defense. If you'd rather target Adonai Mitchell's lower line, I don't mind that either. Mitchell (questionable) has logged 60+ rec yards in both weeks, and is coming off a game where he saw 12 targets. .25u on Jameson Williams ATD (+165) and .1u on the following parlay: St. Brown ATD, Jamo ATD, Brock Wright ATD (+6000). I'll be running this parlay as a .1u play for the next three weeks vs the Jets, Panthers, and Cardinals. Panthers vs Browns: I'm rolling with Quinshon Judkins over 75.5 rush + rec yards (Fanatics Sportsbook) for .5u. Judkins has been quiet to start the season, but this is primarily due to who he's faced thus far. He's now matched up with the Panthers rush defense which is ranked dead last in the NFL, giving up an average of 224 rush yards a game. I don't mind a bet on Judkins 15+ rec yards either, a number he's cleared in both games this season. I'll also be taking Jalen Coker over 55.5 rec yards for .5u. Coker has logged 66+ rec yards in back-to-back games (3+ going back to last season), and is matched up with a Browns defense that allows success from the slot. .1u on Chuba Hubbard ATD, .1u on Judkins ATD. It's worth noting that Denzel Boston has scored in both games to start the season. Chiefs vs Dolphins: This is more of a gut pick so take it with a grain of salt, but I'm taking Emmett Johnson 10+ rec yards here. Johnson has recorded 20+ rec yards in both games this season, and is matched up with a Dolphins defense that allowed 6 receptions and 45 rec yards to Jeanty in Week 1 and 4 receptions and 43 yards to CMC in Week 2. If this game gets out of reach for Miami, I could see Johnson commanding a strong assignment in the 2nd half. It's worth mentioning that KC's coaching staff has deliberately said they're looking for ways to reduce Walker's workload. .25u on Rice ATD (+120), and .1u on Emmett Johnson ATD (+390) as a longshot. Chargers vs Bills: This should be a great game with a ton of points. Cook and Allen both sit worse than -140, so can't straight bet either of those. No leans here. Texans vs Colts: I'm taking Dalton Schultz over 48.5 rec yards. With Nico Collins out, I expect Schultz to keep seeing high volume (140 rec yards on 14 targets in Week 2). The Colts have also been allowing production to tight ends, with Kelce logging 101 rec yards and a TD last week. I'll also be taking David Montgomery ATD for .25u, and putting .1u on C.J. Stroud ATD (+700) as a longshot. No good value on Taylor for a straight bet (-155). It's worth noting that the Colts just recently signed WR Darius Slayton, who has already played six seasons with Jones at QB. Cardinals vs 49ers: I'm taking two players here, both at the same line: Michael Wilson over 44.5 rec yards (FanDuel Sportsbook) and George Kittle over 44.5 rec yards. Wilson has only cleared this line in 1/2 games this season, but has a favorable matchup on the outside. Game script suggests Brissett will have to throw here, and I expect him to take some deep shots to Wilson. If you trust him, I like a ladder on Wilson's receiving lines: in their last matchup, Wilson logged 185 rec yards on 15 receptions. As for Kittle, I just like the line. .1u on Wilson ATD (+285) and .1u on Kittle ATD (+175). No straight bet value on CMC (-270). Vikings vs Buccaneers: Kyler Murray is back for this one. Murray 20+ rush yards is my only play in this game. Murray only played a few snaps before his concussion in Week 1, but he still had two carries for nine yards. Excluding that game, Murray has logged 20+ rush yards in eight straight games dating back to 2024, and with Minnesota's banged up backfield, I like Murray to clear this line with a few scrambles. I have no interest in straight betting Tampa Bay props until I see some improvement. Raiders vs Saints: This is the highest line I'm taking this week, but I can't ignore these numbers. Rolling with Ashton Jeanty over 94.5 rush + rec yards for .5u. The Saints allowed 186 rush + rec yards to Jahmyr Gibbs in Week 1, followed by 87 rush + rec yards to Henry in Week 2. Combined through two weeks, the Saints have allowed an average of 4.84 yards per carry and 5.5 RB receptions. If Brock Bowers is ruled in, I like the play even more. .25u on Jeanty ATD. Ravens vs Cowboys: This is another one of your games to target, but I'm a little hesitant about the run game here considering the location (Brazil) and conditions. I'm putting .25u on Andrews ATD (+120), and .25u on CeeDee Lamb ATD (+125). .1u on Devontez Walker ATD (+650) and .1u on Andrews 2 TDs (+800) as longshots. There's no value on Henry for a straight bet, but I do like him to score here as well. This is a good spot for Baltimore to put up 28+ pts, especially following a loss. Rams vs Broncos: .5u on Kyren Williams ATD Regular parlays are 0.5u, and the rest are 0.1u Parlay 1: Adonai Mitchell over 44.5 rec yards, Michael Wilson over 44.5 rec yards (+250) Parlay 2: Mark Andrews over 38.5 rec yards, RJ Harvey 15+ rec yards (+210) Parlay 3: Sam Darnold over 1.5 passing TDs, Matthew Stafford over 1.5 passing TDs (+300) Degen Parlay 1: Tee Higgins ATD, Jameson Williams ATD (+615) Degen Parlay 2: Lamar Jackson ATD, George Kittle ATD (+725) Degen Parlay 3: Emmett Johnson 15+ rec yards, Javonte Williams 15+ rec yards, Darnell Mooney 20+ rec yards (+800) Degen Parlay 4: Kirk Cousins 2+ passing TDs, Bucky Irving 4+ receptions, Brock Purdy 2+ passing TDs (+1030) Degen Parlay 5: Chase Brown ATD, David Montgomery ATD, Ashton Jeanty ATD, Kyren Williams ATD (+1175) Degen Parlay 6: Justin Jefferson ATD, Chris Olave ATD, George Pickens ATD (+1500) Retirement Parlay: C.J. Stroud ATD, Devontez Walker ATD (+6270) Go small on the parlays. Straight bet the majority of your bankroll. BOL!!! ​ NFL TNF Writeup Successful MNF hitting on Davante and Ferguson. Prayers up to Jaxson Dart. I'm taking Tucker Kraft ATD (+200) for 1u. This is my favorite bet for the game. ATL has allowed 3 TDs to tight ends through two weeks, with Pat Freiermuth grabbing one in Week 1 and Waller going for two last week. Kraft is in a good spot to keep that trend going, especially with Jayden Reed ruled out of this one. Kraft played 98% of offensive snaps in Week 2, so the opportunity is there. He has yet to score this season but I expect Green Bay to look for ways to get one of their best red-zone weapons more involved. I'll also be tossing .5u on Watson ATD (+160). Watson has scored in both games this season, putting up a combined 3 TDs on 19 targets. ATL has also already given up a big game to an opposing WR1 to start the year, allowing 101 rec yards to Tetairoa McMillan last week. Now that CB A.J. Terrell is on IR, I like Watson's chances of getting an explosive play downfield, if Love is given enough time in the pocket. With Watson's big-play ability, I wouldn't be surprised if that explosive play comes with 6 points attached. Not only have the Falcons had the best run defense in the entire NFL through the first two games, but Green Bay's run game is essentially nonexistent. If the Packers want a win here, it'll have to come through the air. If you'd rather pivot and take Kraft's rec yards / Watson's rec yards, I like those as well; I'm just sticking with the TDs for the better value. I do not mind a ladder on Watson or Kraft. For the Falcons, I'm rolling with London ATD (+200), also a .5u play. London's been quiet and scoreless to start the season, but that's no fault of his own. With Penix Jr. returning, I expect London to see a significant increase in volume. Historically, London has been a completely different receiver with Penix Jr., clearing 100+ receiving yards in 5/L6 games together, while also scoring 4 TDs across their last three games. At 6'4, London gives Penix a big target to lean on in the red zone, and I like him to score here. This is another ladder play I don't mind. If Kraft scores, we profit. Parlay: Tucker Kraft 40+ rec yards, Drake London 60+ rec yards (+160) (.25u) Degen Parlay: Christian Watson 80+ rec yards, Drake London 100+ rec yards (+700) (.1u) BOL and I'll see you all on Sunday!

Makai Lemon: Opportunity Through Offensive Evolution Few rookies have sparked as much low-key intrigue as Makai Lemon. After a quiet start, the Philadelphia Eagles are quietly adapting, and opportunity is knocking. The shift is rooted in personnel: 11-Man Personnel Usage: The Eagles are running 11-man personnel at a 76% rate, up 15 points from last year and now 22.6% above league average. That’s a seismic philosophical shift, opening up more snaps for a third receiver and, naturally, more slot snaps for Lemon. Slot Role Emphasis: Lemon is lining up in the slot 55% of the time, just as projected by many draft analysts who saw the fit for him inside. He’s the primary slot receiver now, with Dallas Goedert sidelined for an extended stretch. Wide Alignment and Routes: When Lemon splits outside (42% of his snaps), he’s running primarily hitch routes — reflecting exactly how he was leveraged at USC. But inside, the playbook expands: slants, posts, gos, and outs. Strengths Highlighted: Lemon’s versatility makes him a consistent mismatch, especially over the middle of the field. The Eagles are tailoring their approach to fit his strengths, suggesting trust and eventual chemistry with Jalen Hurts is building. With Goedert out, Lemon is positioned for a significant bump in targets, especially in the red zone and on critical downs. Weaknesses/Caution Points: Despite strong route participation, Lemon remains just fourth in target percentage and sixth in targets per route run. Timing and trust with Hurts aren’t all the way there yet. Example: In Week 1 against the Commanders, Lemon broke open for a would-be touchdown, but Hurts forced the ball to Goedert instead. Fantasy managers in dynasty are cooling, creating a buy window but breakout requires a step forward in target share. If Lemon is still available (he's rostered in only about 50% of leagues), stash him now. With mounting injuries and the Eagles’ offensive pivot, his stock is poised to climb. Buy: Bucky Irving — RB1 and WR1 in Tampa Bay? If there’s a bellcow thriving under the radar, it’s Bucky Irving. Zareh draws compelling parallels between Irving’s current usage and Bijan Robinson’s high-volume receiving role last season under OC Zach Robinson (who’s now in Tampa): Receiving Usage: Robinson turned Bijan into a hybrid RB/WR, posting a gaudy 18% target share and 24% targets per route run. This year, Irving is seeing a 17.7% target share with 26% targets per route run. Volume Monster: Irving isn’t just the primary rusher he’s functioning as a focal point in the pass game, too. Strengths: Bellcow volume in both rushing and receiving. Used in creative alignments; potential for even more slot work as the season unfolds. Weaknesses: The Bucs’ offense lacks other reliable weapons if defenses key on Irving, efficiency could drop. Utilization could shift if the coaching staff changes their approach or another pass catcher emerges. If you hold Irving, don't sell yet either hold or even buy, as the usage is elite. Sell: Chris Godwin as Tampa’s WR2 The depth chart labels Chris Godwin the Bucs’ No. 2 wideout, but Zareh breaks down changing currents: Emergence of Ted Hurst: Second in target share, higher targets per route than Godwin, and seeing substantial slot work. Usage Pattern: Hurst, not Jalen McMillan, is the true split end and deep threat; Bucs lose explosiveness if they bench Hurst. Strengths (for Hurst): True perimeter threat, sharp routes, nearly weekly big-play upside. Chemistry growing with Baker Mayfield, who craves a “Mike Evans” archetype. Weaknesses (for Godwin): Production has been dusty, with declining involvement. Could see snaps siphoned by McMillan as the season progresses. Pivot away from Godwin; prioritize adding Hurst off waivers. Pittsburgh Backfield: Injuries Create Chaos Rico Dowdle’s injury and Jaylen Warren’s day-to-day status mean this backfield is fluid: Who Steps Up? Travis Homer (potential elevation), Eli Heidenreich (a converted college slot receiver with impressive receiving metrics). Cincinnati Defense Play: With a depleted Pittsburgh offense, the Bengals’ DST is a smart Week 3 start. Closing Thoughts & Action Items Add Makai Lemon: Trust the trend, the Eagles’ offensive shift is real. Hold/Prioritize Bucky Irving: He’s a rare hybrid workhorse. Add Ted Hurst: He’s the explosive playmaker Mayfield needs; could be a league-winner if rapport clicks. Fade Chris Godwin: His time in the Tampa sun is waning. Watch Pittsburgh Injuries: Heidenreich is a deep stash; start the Bengals’ D in redraft.

I thought it'd be fun to see what everyone is discussing ahead of this week. This primarily comes from discussions in our Discord; where you can always ask our opinion but wanted to do this as a public article so people can see how fun (possibly insane) everyone in the 32BW community is. Week 2 is in the books, waivers are open, and if you spent any time in fantasy circles from Sunday through Tuesday you already know what it felt like. Nobody was calmly ranking waiver adds. Everybody was arguing. Loudly. With two real sides. I wanted to map the fights that actually took over the conversation this week. Not another list of who to pick up. Just the debates managers cannot shut up about right now. Is Marvin Harrison Jr. a Cut Candidate, a Buy-Low, or a Walk-Away? MHJ took more heat than almost anybody after another empty receiving line and a coaching quote that landed like a gut punch. Redraft people were fighting cut versus patience. Dynasty people were fighting buy versus stop buying. Some folks were already in the third camp: just walk away. The patience side is pretty simple. You do not trash a former premium pick after two weeks, especially after a Seahawks defense that smothered the whole Cardinals passing game. Give it time. The buy-low side wants him cheap in a rebuild. Pedigree, future change of scenery, pay a second and live with it. Then you have the walk-away crowd. Not a fantasy WR1 or WR2 yet, and Adonai Mitchell is already doing the job managers keep hoping MHJ becomes. Holders want a bounce. Shoppers want any second they can steal. That third group does not even want the stock. Is Brian Thomas Jr. Cooked, or Is Parker Washington Just Winning the Week? This one would not die on Monday. And honestly, I get why. Parker people say the tape matches the production. Hold him. Maybe he is even worth a first after BTJ’s cold stretch. BTJ people say two weeks is not a career, the targets are still there, the coverage has been brutal, and Parker is eating partly because defenses still fear BTJ. Redraft cut lists are asking the same question with less nuance. Droppable in a short bench, or classic early-season overreaction? Both sides are loud. Middle ground is basically nonexistent. Kyren Williams, Blake Corum, or a New Rams Future? Monday night turned the Rams into a multi-year argument, which is always fun. One side saw Corum’s athleticism, that roughly 60-40 feel, and Ferguson’s touchdown night without Puka as the start of something new. The other side said McVay still trusts Kyren for the little things, and one fumble or one game should not rewrite the depth chart. Ferguson made it messier. Breakout signal to some. One-game spike to others. Immediate fantasy value and long-term roster building got tangled in the same conversation, which is probably why it ran so long. Can Jameis Winston Save Nabers, or Is This Still Giants Chaos? After the Dart injury news soured, the Giants offense became one big coping session. Optimistic takes lean on Winston’s history of feeding a featured receiver and the idea that a full week of prep beats a cold relief outing against a nasty Rams front. Pessimists point to ugly accuracy stretches, no clean emergency quarterback plan, and quiet nights from other pass catchers that look a lot more like a QB problem than a talent problem. It is less about loving Winston and more about whether Nabers has a floor without a stable quarterback. That is the real question. If You Are 0-2, Do You Manage the Board or Blow It Up? Ugly historical playoff odds after 0-2 set off the seasonal panic debate again. Doom posters treated the percentages like a death certificate. Pushback was sharp. League size matters. Playoff slots matter. Points for versus bad luck matters. Plenty of managers swear they won titles after nightmare starts. Dynasty made the same argument with sharper teeth. One camp says an 0-2 orphan should sell producers, stack 2027 and 2028 picks, and stop pretending the roster is fine. The other camp says over-nuking leaves you needing too many hits. So Week 3 is either “chase every waiver and every first” or “stop panicking and manage the board.” Both instincts are everywhere right now.

The Arizona Cardinals kicked off their season with a balanced and intriguing performance that’s left fantasy football managers and NFL watchers eager for more. In this breakdown inspired by Matt Olson and Cardinals beat writer Tyler Drake of Arizona Sports, we’ll unpack the plays and player strengths that defined Arizona’s opener and what that means for the rest of the fantasy season. Quarterback Play: The Steady Hand of Jacoby Brissett Performance Highlighted: Tyler Drake praised Brissett’s facilitation and ball security. Despite a lackluster run game output, Brissett’s efficiency and safe decision-making stood out, with only one or two questionable throws all game. Brissett executed a scheme favoring the tight end (Trey McBride) and short-to-intermediate options, resulting in a well-paced, mistake-free offense (01:28). Strengths: Ball security: Brissett’s strong interception percentage puts him among elite company for turnover avoidance (04:40). Scheme management: Operated the offense to his playmakers’ strengths, never forcing unnecessary plays, and keeping the team moving forward. Weaknesses: Red zone efficiency: Only 2-for-5 on red zone drives. Numerous field goals reflected missed chances for touchdowns (00:46). Penalties: The offense was hampered by 8 penalties for 111 yards, disrupting rhythm when approaching scoring zones. Fantasy Impact: Brissett’s role as facilitator and his connection to playmakers like McBride makes him a serviceable QB2 or streaming option in superflex leagues, especially when stacked with top targets (as Tyler Drake did with McBride and Michael Wilson). Running Backs: Committee Approach with Upside Key Plays & Usage: Tyler Allgeier set the tone with hard running, seeing more touches in Week 1 due to Jeremiah Love’s limited availability post-injury (05:18). Jeremiah Love flashed “home run” ability every snap he played: his speed visibly outpaced defenders, suggesting a shift to a true lead role is inevitable (07:26). Strengths: Freshness and rotation: Offensive coordinator Mike LaFleur’s emphasis on keeping both backs fresh means both will retain value all season, limiting injury risk and maximizing efficiency. Versatility: Potential for 2-running back sets looms, adding more options and headaches for opposing defenses (07:44). Pass-catching: Both Allgeier and Love had 2 catches each; Love’s potential in the passing game as a “Bijan Robinson type” is especially intriguing for PPR value (09:01). Weaknesses: Touch split: Expect a near 50-50 split until Love is 100 percent and trusted in late/close situations. Goal line: Allgeier’s usage in short-yardage may siphon some red zone and touchdown chances from Love, especially early in the season (07:24). Fantasy Take: Move for Allgeier if he’s on waivers; buy low on Love while the transition is still underway—both will see significant usage increases, especially after Week 5 with the return of key blocking TE Tip Ryman (21:50). Receivers: Unpredictability and Opportunity Michael Wilson & Marvin Harrison Jr. Michael Wilson: Described as “that dude,” Wilson is integral beyond just receiving: he’s an elite blocker and locker room leader, justifying his contract extension and consistent on-field presence (11:00). Marvin Harrison Jr.: Three targets in Week 1 had fans concerned, but Tyler Drake chalks it up to game flow. Harrison earned separation consistently; with more favorable matchups and routes (esp. crossers), expect an uptick in usage (12:24). Kendrick Bourne Breakout Play: 8 catches on 8 targets for 75 yards—a model of slot efficiency and reliability (13:54). Intangibles: Bourne’s chemistry with LaFleur and leadership qualities make him more than a WR3/boom-bust play—he’s a tone-setter who will be schemed touches consistently. Tight End: Trey McBride—The Engine Stat Line: 13 targets, 9 catches, relentless involvement (18:12). Strengths: Unmatched durability, elite after-the-catch upside, and a rapport with Brissett that makes double-digit targets routine. Expectation: McBride is now the consensus TE1; anything less than 8 targets or an end-zone look would be a surprise (19:01). Offensive Evolution to Watch Tip Ryman’s Return: The blocking tight end’s likely Week 5 comeback will open up all facets of Arizona’s run game and create more stable pockets, boosting both running back and quarterback efficiency (21:00). Formations: More 2-back sets are expected, further increasing upside for Allgeier and Love (20:48).

Alright, let’s dive in. Week 1 is always a minefield for fantasy managers overreacting to every snap, and this week’s Fantasy Football Intel episode had all of that nervous energy. Zareh Kantzabedian and Matt Olson went through snap counts, running schemes, and a few new faces that actually look like they can be rostered. I’m going to work through the spots that stuck, the same way we would after the show. Chargers backfield: the scheme fought the player Los Angeles went to an outside zone run scheme and it did not work. Omarion Hampton kept getting bounced outside. The offensive line and the receivers did not set the edge and they did not create lanes. That is not a “he’s a bust after one week” thing. That is a scheme-player mismatch. Hampton still saw a 57% rush share, 15th among running backs in utilization. His rush EPA was -4.62. The only back worse in that sample was Rhamondre Stevenson. He also did not get a single target. In 2026 that is a problem. Modern backs need to eat in the passing game or the profile dies on early downs. Keaton Mitchell got four carries and all four were outside zone. Same issue. No real passing-game usage for him either. The tape that was actually good was inside. Gap and lead plays between the tackles are where Hampton looks like himself. If the play-calling funnels him there, there is still upside. Until that happens, both the line and the receivers failing to block the edge is neutralizing the entire zone look. Treat this backfield as a headache in redraft until the scheme pivots. Hampton is a flex floor with the hope the coaching staff wises up. I would not be slamming him back into RB2 language after one ugly outside-zone week. Washington: JCM has the job until he doesn’t Jacory Croskey-Merritt, JCM or Bill if you have been living in the group chats, looked the part. Especially on play action with Jayden Daniels under center. First touch went for 11 yards because Daniels pulled a linebacker and the lane showed up. That is the whole point of that offense. Best rep was an inside zone where he bent it against the grain, used the lateral agility, bounced off the back of his lineman, and picked up 9. That is the trait you are buying. He finished with about a 50% snap and rush share and the highest EPA per rush in the backfield. Early-down work is his until it isn’t. The “until it isn’t” is the fumble. After that, Kaytron Allen got reps and looked like he belonged. If the ball security issues stick, this becomes a committee fast. That being said, JCM is still the back I want rostered. Handcuff Allen in deeper leagues. Rachaad White is the name people keep trying to force as the pass-catching piece. Week 1 he was mostly in pass protection and largely ignored out of the backfield. He is off the radar until the usage actually shows up. Caleb Douglas is the Week 1 name If you want the biggest reveal from the episode, it is Caleb Douglas in Miami. 21 snaps outside, 9 from the slot, 26% target share. That is WR1 usage in a first game. He led the relevant sample in separation at 5.28 yards and posted 3.13 yards per route run. Only a handful of rookies over the last decade matched his Week 1 receiving yards in a debut. Marquise Brown, Terry McLaurin, Puka Nacua, Ja’Marr Chase. That is the company. On tape he is aggressive at the stem, he wins press, and he is a physical blocker. The chemistry with Malik Willis as an aggressive deep-ball thrower is the part that makes this feel sustainable instead of a one-week blip. He can work the slot and the boundary. Separation and YAC both showed up. The only real risk is Miami’s pecking order over a full season and whether that 26% target share holds. That is a real risk. It is not a reason to ignore what just happened. Douglas is a top waiver add. I would even trade for him if your WR3/FLEX is dead. In dynasty, prioritize him over the fringe rookies people are still clinging to. Yes, including some of the names that were drafted ahead of him. Ted Hurst is the deep-league stash Ted Hurst played 75% of the snaps in Tampa Bay and ran routes on 70% of them. He is the only true X on that roster right now, which is a pretty clean path to the vacated Mike Evans work if the snaps stay this high. He is not an every-week starter yet. He is a clear stash in 14-team and dynasty with red-zone and vertical-shot upside. Monitor whether the red-zone usage expands. If it does, this stops being a stash conversation pretty quickly. The tight end market already moved I still like Travis Kelce as a human and as a Chiefs piece. I do not need him glued to a roster in redraft. Usage is heading the wrong way, Kansas City leaned on the ground, and the rookie backups are no longer theoretical. If someone in your league still treats him like a locked TE1, that is a sell. The buy is Evan Engram in Denver. Playing time and route participation quietly jumped. That is how a sneaky TE1 happens. Kenyon Sadiq with the Jets is the other name. Big-play profile if the snap share keeps climbing. I would rather hold the upside than the logo. What I would actually do Don’t be afraid to react to new data. Just don’t react like Week 1 is a 17-week sample. Watch the Chargers for a scheme change before you bury Hampton. Buy the Miami passing-game usage with Douglas. Stash Hurst and Sadiq in the formats where those benches exist. Use Week 2 as the sanity check. Some of this will stick. Some of it will look silly. The managers who win are the ones who move on the usage and the film, not last week’s box score. • Waiver add: Caleb Douglas • Handcuff: Kaytron Allen • Stash: Ted Hurst and Kenyon Sadiq • Trade: move off Kelce if you can; Engram is the replacement I want This week is about positioning. Don’t chase last week’s points. Don’t ignore the snaps either. Let everyone else panic. Go listen to the full episode if you want the film notes we did not fully write up here.

This article is updated for each slate of games so check back regularly. Additionally any time it updates it will be posted in Discord. NFL MNF Writeup I’m putting 1.25u on Davante Adams ATD. Despite the Rams offense completely falling apart in Week 1 and a quiet game from Adams, he commanded a 28.6% first-read target share. Now he gets a banged up Giants secondary. Adams is also a massive red-zone threat, hauling in 14 TDs last season, and if Puka sits (game-time decision), I like the play even more. For the Giants, I’m targeting Skattebo 50+ rush yards. He had 81 rush yards on 18 carries in Week 1, and is now matched up with a rush defense that allowed 174 rush yards on 30 carries (5.8 YPC) to the 49ers. With that volume and this matchup, I like his chances to clear 50. Parlay: Jaxson Dart 30+ rush yards, Isaiah Likely 40+ rec yards (+200) .25u Degen parlay: Jaxson Dart 40+ rush yards, Kyren Williams 2+ TDs (+820) .25u ATDs: Terrance Ferguson (+240) (.25u), Jaxson Dart (+260) (.25u), Jaxson Dart 2+ TDs (+2200) (.1u) ​ NFL TNF Writeup MNF didn't go our way. Congrats K9 and Pat Bryant bettors. This should be a better matchup, and I'm going pretty big on this game. Some good ones this Sunday as well. I'm taking Amon-Ra St. Brown 80+ rec yards here. St. Brown has played the Bills twice in his career, logging 122+ rec yards in both games, and 193 rec yards in their last matchup. He has also scored in both of these games, and caught 2 TD’s in week 1 vs the Saints. With Buffalo -4.5 favorites and an O/U at 53.5, game script suggests Detroit will have to throw, especially if the Bills take an early lead. Against Houston, Buffalo allowed 111 yards on in-breaking routes, an area where St. Brown thrives. I’ll also be taking St. Brown ATD (+110) for .5u and Jameson Williams ATD (+200) for .25u. I don’t mind a bet on Gibbs for 2: Vegas seems to think he’ll get them, I’m just not stoked on the value. For Buffalo, James Cook ATD (-175) and Allen ATD (-130) both have bad value for a straight bet, although I do like both of them to score. I’m taking D.J. Moore over 57.5 rec yards in this one as a .5u play. Moore immediately established himself as WR1 in Buffalo’s debut, hauling in 5 receptions on 8 targets for 100 yards and a TD. With the Bills facing a Detroit defense that just allowed 30 points and 182 rec yards to Olave, I expect an aggressive Allen here in what should be one of the higher-scoring games this week. .25u on James Cook 2+ TD’s (+350) as a longshot. Parlay: Jahmyr Gibbs 25+ rec yards, James Cook 60+ rush yards (+110) .25u Parlay 2: Jahmyr Gibbs 120+ rush + rec yards, Josh Allen 25+ yards rushing (+200) .25u Degen Parlay: Jameson Williams ATD, Khalil Shakir ATD (+900, Fanatics Sportsbook) .25u Longshot ATD: Brock Wright (+1200, Fanatics Sportsbook) King of the Endzone pick: Keon Coleman (+425), honorable mentions D.J. Moore / Jameson Williams NFL Week 2 Writeup What a game on Thursday. Let’s see if we can carry that momentum into a loaded Sunday. Saints vs Ravens No Zay Flowers. Ravens are -8.5 favorites at home. I’m on Chris Olave over 67.5 rec yards (.5u). He’s put up 85+ yards in his last 4 games with Shough, and 119+ in his last 3. (Olave is questionable with a hamstring.)Derrick Henry over 93.5 rush yards — 100+ in 5 straight, coming off 144. Saints allowed 156 to Jahmyr Gibbs (5.4 YPC). Expect Baltimore to lean on the run with Flowers out. Bateman might be a good ATD longshot. Eagles vs Titans Dallas Goedert over 34.5 rec yards (Fanatics). Goedert has 38+ in 5 of his last 6 without A.J. Brown. Had 77 yards and two TDs in Week 1. Alternatives: Saquon rush yards or Smith receiving yards. Packers vs Jets Matthew Golden over 3.5 receptions (.5u). Golden had 95 yards on 12 targets last week. Minkah Fitzpatrick is out. Golden had a 30.3% first-read target share in Week 1. Possible Jets upset. Bengals vs Texans No straight bets here. With Nico ruled out, expect Stroud to involve Hutchinson, Boutte, and Schultz more. Vikings vs Bears One of your games to target. Justin Jefferson over 77.5 rec yards. Bears secondary allowed 213 combined to Coker and McMillan. Jefferson had 92 in the opener and 79+ in 4 of last 5 with Wentz. .25u Jefferson ATD (+150). .25u Monangai ATD (+185). Browns vs Buccaneers Baker revenge narrative. Baker Mayfield over 1.5 passing TDs..25u Mayfield over 212.5 passing yards. .25u Egbuka over 52.5 rec yards. .25u Egbuka ATD (+180). .25u Mayfield ATD (+650). Steelers vs Patriots Drake Maye 2+ passing TDs (+115) (.5u). Bounce-back after a poor opener. Hunter Henry has scored 2 TDs in 3 of his 4 career games against the Steelers. Panthers vs Falcons Tetairoa McMillan over 57.5 receiving yards (FanDuel). 75 yards in Week 1; 130 and 2 TDs historically vs Atlanta. Bryce Young is playing well; Coker is a pivot. For Atlanta, targeting Bijan off Carolina’s poor rush D, but not a full unit. .25u McMillan ATD (+180). .25u Bijan 2+ TDs (+275). Raiders vs Chargers Off this one personally, but it could be a get-right game for Herbert and the Chargers. Jaguars vs Broncos Parker Washington over 57.5 receiving yards (FanDuel). Led target share in Week 1 (83 yards, 1 TD); plays slot and avoids Surtain. 145 yards in their last matchup. .5u Parker Washington ATD (+180). .25u Trevor Lawrence ATD (+390) as a longshot. Commanders vs Cowboys Potentially the best game on the slate. George Pickens 60+ receiving yards (1.25u) — bounce-back vs a weak Commanders pass D; 78+ in 3 career games vs Washington. Dak has a high TD history here. .25u Jake Ferguson ATD (+250). .25u JCM ATD (+105). McLaurin is a potential rec-yards target but avoiding him for now. Dolphins vs 49ers Expect the 49ers to dominate. Deebo Samuel over 3.5 receptions (+125). 6 catches in Week 1; Miami allows slot volume. .25u Deebo ATD (+220). Seahawks vs Cardinals Trey McBride over 59.5 receiving yards. Cleared in 8 of last 10 with Brissett; 95 in Week 1; 127 and a TD historically vs Seattle. JSN props are also fine. .5u Kupp 25+ rec yards (+100). .25u McBride ATD (+180). Colts vs Chiefs I’ll most likely have something out for this later. Parlay 1: George Pickens 60+ rec yards, Mike Evans 3+ receptions (+125) (favorite) .25u Parlay 2: Trevor Lawrence over 1.5 passing TDs, Dak Prescott over 1.5 passing TDs (+220) (favorite) .25u Parlay 3: Trevor Lawrence ATD (+390) (You can add Addison for a parlay at +1700) Parlay 4: Tetairoa McMillan OR Jalen Coker ATD, Colston Loveland OR Jordan Addison ATD, CeeDee Lamb OR Jacory Croskey-Merritt ATD (+420, DraftKings) .25u(Lots of value in either/or ATDs — play around with those) Degen 1: Justin Jefferson 100+ rec yards, Trey McBride 70+ rec yards (+600) (favorite) .25u Degen 2: Tee Higgins 50+ rec yards, Baker Mayfield 10+ rush yards, Bhayshul Tuten 40+ rush yards, Deebo Samuel 4+ receptions (+720) .25u Degen 3: Devaughn Vele over 3.5 receptions, Jakobi Meyers 25+ rec yards, Xavier Hutchinson over 2.5 receptions, Cooper Kupp 25+ rec yards (+720) .25u Degen 4: Hunter Henry ATD, Jake Ferguson ATD (+1000) .25u(You can add Darren Waller ATD for a RR, but run the two-man if you tail) (+5400) Degen 5: Mike Evans ATD, Jaxon Smith-Njigba ATD, Jacory Croskey-Merritt ATD (+1050) .25u Potential ATD longshots to target: Jalen McMillan (+330), Oronde Gadsden (+480), Brock Purdy (+280), Michael Wilson (+380), Tyquan Thornton (+550)

Buccaneers vs Bengals: This is one of your games to target - highest O/U on the entire slate for good reason. I'm taking Kenneth Gainwell 20+ rec yards (line change to 23.5) here. Gainwell has cleared this line in 8/L9 games, and logged 81 rec yards in his last matchup vs Cincinnati (with Pitt). He's in a brand new scheme this year, but OC Zac Robinson, "Has made him the safety valve and he has gotten a lot of work as a receiver out of the backfield." I'm expecting a 1A/1B split between Irving and Gainwell, giving Gainwell 3rd downs and pass catching opportunities. I'm also taking Baker Mayfield 2+ passing TD's because I like the value, and throwing .5u on Higgins ATD (+125). We consistently targeted Higgins ATD last season and it paid off, outscoring Ja'Marr by 3 touchdowns. I also like alting up some passing/receiving props in this one. Saints vs Lions: No straight bets here. I'm putting .5u on a SGP: Jahmyr Gibbs 25+ rec yards, Juwan Johnson 30+ rec yards. Juwan Johnson has cleared 30+ rec yards in all 11 games played with Shough. Ravens vs Colts: No good value on Henry/Taylor. I'm taking Zay Flowers over 5.5 receptions (+120) for .5u. Despite the Colts (potentially) dangerous secondary, this is strictly a volume play. I could also see Lamar breaking a run here. Browns vs Jaguars: I'm very big on Bhayshul Tuten this year. He has all the tools necessary to take an Etienne-type leap here as leadback, and I expect him to be utilized heavily in the pass game. However, I'm not so sure that he'll be used often in the RZ: Chris Rodriguez Jr is their power back, and I expect him to vulture some of Tuten's TD's. The Jags are one of the best offenses in the NFL, but don't expect them to produce too much against this Cleveland defense. There should be better opportunities to target both of these RB's later in the season. I see similar upside with Parker Washington. WR corps is very deep but Washington is an elite talent. Passing on this matchup personally. Bills vs Texans: James Cook ATD is my main bet in this game. .5u on DMo ATD. Jets vs Titans: It's week 1 - I'll allow it. Bears vs Panthers: Another great matchup for props. I'm rolling with D'Andre Swift 80+ rush + rec yards and Tetairoa McMillan 60+ rec yards. No good value on Swift ATD, so off that for a straight bet, although I do like him to score. .25u on Jalen Coker ATD (+300), and .25u on Loveland ATD (+165). Falcons vs Steelers: Pass Dolphins vs Raiders: This is more of an obscure pick, but I'm taking Greg Dulcich 3+ receptions here. Not only has Dulcich emerged as a key pass-catcher in practice and minicamps, but Miami lacks a WR corps, and I wouldn't be surprised if Willis relied on Dulcich as a security blanket. .5u on Achane ATD (+120). .25u on Malik Willis ATD (+350) as a longshot. If Dulcich hauls in three receptions, we profit here. We did well last season with Achane's rush + rec yards, but I'm hesitant to take his rec yards here with Willis at QB. Willis typically likes to avoid quick passes and prefers to scramble out of the pocket when things get hectic; not to mention, the Dolphins lost Mike McDaniel, who was the primary reason for Achane's volume in the pass game. No Raiders here - maybe Nailor if you need one. Packers vs Vikings: Not sure what to think about this one. I'm taking Jauan Jennings 23+ rec yards here as a .5u play. I'm not the most confident in this bet, but this line is just too low to ignore. Jennings has logged 23+ rec yards in 13 straight games (with SF) and granted he's in a brand new system with Minnesota, he can clear this line with one catch. He's WR8 on this team - that's why his line is so low. I expect a hot start for Justin Jefferson and a mid season regression. .5u on MarShawn Lloyd ATD. Overall just too many variables in this one, but I like the matchup. Commanders vs Eagles: Here's another crazy statistic - Saquon Barkley has scored in six straight games vs the Commanders, with 2+ TD's in 4/6. I'm taking his ATD again here against a rush defense ranked bottom five going into the '26 season. Another crazy statistic: Barkley has logged 118+ rush yards in all four games played vs the Commanders as an Eagle, with 130+ rush yards in three of those games, and 146+ rush yards in two of them. Do with that what you will. Experts are high on DeVonta this season and for valid reason, but I believe Goedert and Barkley will be the biggest beneficiaries of AJ's departure. Curious to see how Daniels looks this year. Cardinals vs Chargers: I like Ladd McConkey over 4.5 receptions here. Not only do the Cardinals have a horrific pass defense, but McDaniel's offense should manufacture touches for Ladd through motion and slot-usage, giving him a clear path to 7+ targets. McDaniel's offense has historically used pre-snap motion to manufacture easy touches for explosive receivers. I'll also be taking Trey McBride 56+ rec yards for .5u. The Chargers have a strong pass defense, but game script suggests Cardinals may play from behind and be forced to throw. McBride has also cleared this mark in 10/L12 games with Brissett. Cowboys vs Giants: Load up those props here. Two bottom five defenses going head to head. I'm taking CeeDee Lamb 77+ rec yards, Jaxson Dart 30+ rush yards, .5u on Javonte Williams 86+ rush + rec yards, and .25u on Skattebo 70+ rush + rec yards. I'll also be throwing .25u on Pickens ATD (+150) and .25u on Dart ATD (+195). Interested to see Likely's role on this team. Parlay 1: Tetairoa McMillan 50+ rec yards, Javonte Williams 80+ rush + rec yards (+150) Parlay 2: Saquon Barkley 90+ rush yards, Bucky Irving 50+ rush yards (+300) (favorite) Parlay 3: Kyler Murray over 23.5 rush yards, CeeDee Lamb 70+ rec yards (+250) (favorite) Degen pick 1: David Montgomery ATD, Omarion Hampton ATD, Saquon Barkley ATD, Javonte Williams ATD (+870) (favorite, use bet protection if you bet on Saquon/any player more than once) Degen pick 2: Baker Mayfield 2 Passing TD's, Jacoby Brissett 2 Passing TD's, Dak Prescott 2+ Passing TD's (+770) Degen pick 3: Tee Higgins ATD, De'Von Achane ATD, George Pickens ATD (+1020) Degen pick 4: Bryce Young ATD, Malik Willis ATD (+3800) [Bryce Young ATD single, +750] [EDIT: Young's odds plummeted down to +425, I still like him at that value] Potential ATD longshots to target: Ja'Kobi Lane, Keon Coleman, Dontayvion Wicks, Michael Wilson, Michael Pittman Jr, Isaiah Likely (Maybe a RR by 3's could be fun, but don't expect any of these guys to hit) Bengals vs Buccaneers, Ravens vs Colts, Cowboys vs Giants - these all have shootout potential. There's some great value on either ATD on DK - I encourage you all to check them out. Straight bets build bankroll. Parlays are strictly for fun, and relying on them is not a good foundation. All straight bets are 1u unless otherwise specified - parlays are .25u or less. NFL MNF Writeup J.K. Dobbins is fully healthy and enters tonight as the clear RB1. Not only did Dobbins average 5.0 YPC last season, but out of all 10 games played in 2025, Dobbins cleared 60+ rush yards in nine of them. Even if the Chiefs successfully limit the run, Dobbins should hit the 40 yards mark off volume alone. Rashee Rice is my favorite target for receptions here. With Mahomes returning from injury and Denver possessing one of the NFL's best pass rushes, KC should rely on quick throws to their WR1. In his last matchup vs Denver, Rice logged six receptions on nine targets. I'll be throwing 1u on these two props, alted down and combined into a SGP. I'll also be taking Waddle over 7.5 1st quarter rec yards for .5u. KC's secondary is essentially in shambles, and the Broncos should be looking to get Waddle involved early. If you want to pivot and take Waddle's rec yards instead of his first quarter rec yards, I don't mind that. In their first preseason drive together, Nix hit Waddle for a 35 yard completion. Nix has also demonstrated his willingness to throw the deep ball and I wouldn't be shocked if Waddle caught one here. A 1st quarter ladder on Waddle's rec yards could be a good move - just note that 1st quarter props are highly volatile, which is why I don't bet them often. Parlay: J.K. Dobbins 40+ rush yards, Rashee Rice 4+ receptions (-110) Degen parlay: J.K. Dobbins 50+ rush yards, Rashee Rice 6+ receptions, RJ Harvey 15+ rec yards (+610) ATDs: Kenneth Walker III, J.K. Dobbins Longshot ATDs: Troy Franklin (+1300), Cyrus Allen (+850) Taking some small shots on Franklin and Allen here. Franklin saw 104 targets and caught 6 TDs in 2025, and with KC accounting for the new addition of Waddle, Franklin could see soft-coverage opportunities in the RZ. Cyrus Allen has been one of the biggest standouts of the off season for KC, consistently showing chemistry with Mahomes. There's a solid chance he sees very little volume, but I'm betting on one designed RZ opportunity. Between the two longshots, I lean Franklin.

The 2027 running back class is shaping up to be one of the deepest in recent memory. While it may lack a true top-10 lock or a singular blue-chip headliner, there’s no shortage of future NFL starters and potential fantasy impact players. TJ Wengert and Steve Letizia break down their early takes, highlight standout plays, and analyze the strengths and red flags for the top backs in this group. The Depth & Diversity of the Class Both TJ Wengert and Steve Letizia agree: if you need a running back next year, this is your draft. There’s a range of skill sets—home run hitters, between-the-tackles bruisers, and versatile three-down backs. While it may not have a Jeremiah Love or Ashton Jeanty, there are as many as four players who could have challenged for RB2 in last year’s class. Honorable Mentions & Early Watch List Justice Haynes: Top-end speed and has the physicality to run through contact, but too reliant on his offensive line and lacking vision and overall creativity. Not a major third-down presence. Waymon Jordan: Compact, light on his feet, strong jump cut ability, and a consistent pass catcher. Main concern is staying healthy for a full season. Quinn Wiesner: “Solid at everything,” not spectacular. May lack top traits, but projects as a steady NFL contributor in a Tyler Allgeier mold—likely to hang around and carve out a role. Fluff Bothwell: Great name, early-down workhorse profile, with more juice than expected for his size (5’10, 230), but gets caught from behind after 10+ yards. Excels at vision and tempos, but won’t wow with speed. Quentin Joyner: Missed 2026 after transferring to Texas Tech, but flashed rare acceleration and explosiveness in limited USC appearances. Rising Names: Prospects with Unique Traits Marcellus Hawkins (Virginia Tech) Strengths: Exceptional straight-line speed, destroys safety angles, gets skinny through holes, impressive contact balance, and no fumbles last season. Built “in a lab” per coaches—5’11, 223 lbs. Areas for Growth: Not used as a receiver at two stops; must prove he can be a weapon in the passing game. Runs slightly upright and needs to increase touchdown conversion. Raleek Brown (Texas) Strengths: Home run threat in space, dynamic cuts, elite elusiveness at sub-190 pounds. Can make defenders miss “in a phone booth,” projects as a big-play specialist. Areas for Growth: Not a plus pass blocker and questions remain if he can be a true receiver, rather than just a screen/check down guy. “Flavor-based” back—best at 5-10 touches per game. LJ Martin (BYU) Strengths: Prototypical size (6’2, 225) and vision. Rare for a big back, Martin sets up blocks and gets skinny through traffic. Reliable in pass protection and rarely fumbles, projects as a workhorse and late-game “finisher.” Areas for Growth: Lacks breakaway speed or suddenness; not an explosive athlete. Pass-catching is functional but not dynamic. Ceiling likely capped as a rock-solid RB2. Mark Fletcher (Miami) Strengths: Lower-body power, great acceleration for size, and grows stronger as games develop—a “locomotive” effect. Quicker feet and more wiggle than expected, with clear workhorse potential (6’2, 225). Areas for Growth: Upright runner prone to volume wear-and-tear. An early-down hammer who needs to prove receiving ability. No major weaknesses, but may not have a true “elite” trait compared to top-tier NFL backs. Isaac Brown (Louisville) Strengths: Instant acceleration and big play juice reminiscent of De’Von Achane. Averaged 8.8 yards per carry, 5.3 yards after contact per attempt, and forced 97th percentile in missed tackles. Track-level speed. Areas for Growth: Under 190 pounds (listed), durability is a concern. Must show he can handle an increased workload without breaking down. Antwan Raymond (Rutgers) Strengths: Quick-twitch lateral agility, elite jump cuts, much stronger than listed weight (205). Peripheral vision allows him to dodge unblocked defenders, and he consistently adds yardage after contact. Areas for Growth: Doesn’t have top-end speed, pass catching and protection still developing. If he expands his third-down profile, could vault into the top 3. Ahmad Hardy (Missouri) Strengths: Premier contact balance, led SEC in broken tackles, and is unfazed by would-be tacklers. Compact “bowling ball” build and constant forward momentum. Areas for Growth: Below-average long speed, very little third-down production (just 14 catches in two years), but tough to bring down. Heavy collegiate workload may be a minor red flag. Kewan Lacy (Ole Miss) Strengths: Dynamic start/stop athlete, patient runner, and great vision. Over 300 carries, with excellent durability and efficiency. Profiles as a modern-day, versatile three-down threat. Areas for Growth: Play strength could improve, and pass-game creativity is still untapped. Could be a Bucky Irving-type with far more juice. Jadan Baugh (Florida) Strengths: Size-speed combo that’s rare—6’1, 228 yet nimble with quick feet and ridiculous agility. Known for absorbing contact and keeps legs churning. NFL-caliber patience and vision; consistently picks up chunk gains. Areas for Growth: Top-end breakaway speed isn’t elite, and receiving profile remains limited, but brings a Le’Veon Bell-like skill set. Final Thoughts This year’s class is all about depth and variety. While Jayden Ball sits atop the board for now, the next 5-10 prospects all have cases for significant NFL roles dependent on usage, system, and improvement in their weak spots. Expect to see a heavy Day 2 presence next April, with several names vying for RB1 status across the 2027 dynasty landscape. The running back resurgence is very real, and this group is ready to capitalize.