NFL MNF Writeup
Case Keenum at QB for this one. Here's a statistic: In the last three full games started by Keenum without a mid-game benching, his primary running back rushed for over 120 yards in each: Singletary had 121 yards against Tennessee in 2023, and D'Ernest Johnson put up 123 and 146 rush yards in Keenum's prior two full starts with Cleveland. Furthermore, in all three of those games, his primary RB saw 22+ carries. Excluding those stats and looking at Chicago as a whole, their primary advantage here is on the ground. The Eagles have allowed an average of 127 rush yards through the first two weeks (ranked 25th in the NFL), and that was against the Commanders and the Titans. I'm rolling with D'Andre Swift over 75.5 rush + rec yards (Fanatics Sportsbook) here for 1.5u. Swift has logged 99+ rush + rec yards in both games this season, and I expect the Bears to lean on their run game tonight. My main concern here would be the Eagles getting out to too big a lead early and forcing Chicago to abandon the run, but I'm taking the gamble here.