The Buccaneers enter Week 5 with the 4th-ranked defense in the NFL. However, they've faced the Browns, Vikings, and Packers, so I'd take that ranking with a grain of salt. On the other hand, the Cowboys' defense is ranked 30th in the league and 31st against the run. In Week 1, Skattebo rushed for 81 yards and a TD against them. In Week 2, they allowed 182 rushing yards to the Commanders, followed by 89 rushing yards and 2 TDs to Derrick Henry in Week 3. The Cowboys did hold the Texans to just 62 rushing yards in Week 4, but overall, their run defense has much to be desired. While Dallas' pass defense ranks higher than its run defense, they're still very vulnerable through the air, making this one of the worst overall defenses in the NFL. The problem is, Tampa Bay's offense isn't exactly in a position to take advantage.
I'm rolling with Ted Hurst III 20+ rec yards (Fanatics Sportsbook) as a 1u play. The rookie WR has cleared 25+ rec yards in all four games this season, with 36+ rec yards in 2/L4. He also saw a minimum of three targets in all four of those games. Jalon Daniels and Hurst III came in together in the same rookie class, and they've been consistently building chemistry since rookie minicamp, as they spent months taking reps together with the backup units. His line is so low because Hurst's role in the offense hasn't been too noticeable, but he can clear it with one catch and I'm taking the gamble.
Another prop I'm taking is Jalon Daniels over 43.5 rush yards for 2u(EDIT: line change to 46.5 on FanDuel, I like him up to 50). In his first career start, Daniels rushed for 55 yards on 8 carries, but more importantly, let's look at the matchup. In Week 1, the Cowboys allowed 54 rush yards to Dart, followed by 69 rush yards to Jayden Daniels in Week 2, and 50 rush yards in Week 3 to Lamar Jackson. In his six seasons at Kansas, Jalon Daniels loved to run the ball, and I'm backing this number here.
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