JustinJefferson

Oct 12

Minnesota hasn’t been at full strength at wide receiver for an entire game since Week 1.

In Week 1, Minnesota had Justin Jefferson and Addison as its top two receivers, with Jauan Jennings joining in 11 personnel. Jennings missed Week 2 for personal reasons, with Myles Price taking his spot. Jefferson suffered an ankle injury early in Week 3, leading Jennings to step up in 12 personnel, with Tai Felton taking Jefferson’s place in 11 personnel. Jefferson was limited in practice all week, was questionable but ultimately played. However, a hamstring injury kept Addison out. Jefferson played 88. 7% of offensive snaps, with a 92. 6% snap rate before garbage time, so his snap hare was relatively normal. Jennings continued to be a primary receiver in two- and three-receiver sets. Similar to the last two weeks, Felton was one of the three wideouts in three-receiver sets. Jefferson was also back to normal in the box score with six receptions for 79 yards and a touchdown, while Felton and Jennings have averaged less than 2 PPR points per game this season. This leaves Jefferson and Addison, once he’s back, as the only wide receivers in Minnesota with fantasy value despite the high snap and route percentages by other players.

Tom Christ·Oct 10

Injury: Addison returned to limited participation Thursday and Friday and is questionable. Expected Time Missed: Day to day. Addison returned to limited practice Thursday and Friday but remains questionable with a hamstring injury. That progression is encouraging, though I would have preferred a full practice before trusting a receiver who relies on acceleration and downfield speed. High-speed running places substantial demands on the hamstrings, with re-injury risk particularly elevated early after returning. Our dataset shows only a 7.5% average decline in wide receiver fantasy production after hamstring injuries, but his limited participation leaves uncertainty about his effectiveness and workload. If active, Addison is a risky flex option. I would lean toward a healthier alternative, particularly if Jefferson also plays.